Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Given his recent form and underlying metrics, Reddick would be a steal at his listed NASCAR DFS price tags. When teams are in practice, they are looking for the best set up for the car in race trim. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. Could Kyle Busch get one Sunday? Bell ranks third in my newly developed FLAGS rankings at similar tracks, and he starts on the front row alongside Toyota stablemate Bubba Wallace. Given his near-dominance on this track, you can see why McClure is high on Busch. As long as he doesnt wreck, Austin Dillon is a very strong DraftKings option this weekend at Michigan. On Sunday, look for Reddick to finish in the top ten and compete for a top five. BJ McLeod 1. Over the last three races ran at Michigan, Newman has an AFP(average finishing position) of 20.3. Fantasy NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks By Kelly Kirby On Aug 7, 2022 The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole He wont be totally low-owned, but my model gives him a solid 21% chance to end up in the optimal lineup. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. William Byron 3. Its free to join, but as of now its just for bragging rights. Its actually baffling how Kyle Busch was able to get up to a 14th place at Auto Club last year. KYLE BUSCH (3): All the talk about Busch not running well because he is distracted by the contract discussions is nonsense. Its also the closest to my hometown. In summer 2019 in his next most recent race, Larson finished 3rd and had a 13.3 average running position. 1. All rights reserved. Hamlin runs up front and scores very well in Fantasy Live one week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week. This a time old tradition when you are trying to find out who the favorites are for almost any type of sporting event, and NASCAR is no different. Still, this is another race to play DraftKings Daily Fantasy Sports, so of course us degenerates are going to be interested and watching closely on Sunday. Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. Usually the scheduled is filled with 1.5 and 2-mile ovals, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, Chicago and California with road courses. We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. Larsons been the premiere performer at minimal wear intermediates this year (Las Vegas, Kansas and Charlotte), and if it wasnt for a late caution at Kansas he would be 3 for 3 at reaching The Cup Series visits Auto Club just once per season, meaning teams havent raced here in a year a race that was also the first at an intermediate track in the Next Gen car. Reddick notched his second career Cup Series victory last week at the Indy Road Course. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Is it possible? Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. Despite posting strong results in this race in recent years, Busch hasn't won in Vegas since 2009, but he looks set to recapture his dominant form, now with RCR. He will start in 16th position, leaving all of us in a strange DFS limbo. Congrats to hooviej1125 on their win last week! Busch himself has four wins and the best average finish among active drivers (besides Jimmie Johnson, whos not in this race). Busch should do better; after all, Tyler Reddick had great speed in this car in 2022 (more on him later). Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Michigan State vs. Iowa game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. Every year I see Fantasy Live players make the same mistake. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. If he can keep his car in one piece, Reddick should be a good pick. Before we jump into my picks, dont forget all my NASCAR projections can be found in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections. Truckin Thursdays: Ironman Matt Crafton Ready To Shake Off the Rust. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. He led 23 laps on the way to the victory. Last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th. I view Kansas as the most similar track, and at that venue he finished 2nd, led 29 laps and had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking. Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. I think youll find it really helpful when you create your own lineups. Gambling Problem? Blaney I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. His model, which simulates every race 10,000 times, called seven outright winners last season. And which value driver is a must-roster? Picking Denny Hamlin for your team will not guarantee a win in your fantasy league, but picking him will help your chances of not losing since most of the other team owners will more than likely have him as well. I believe thats a mistake. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. The following are a couple of DFS lineups I plan to play in GPP contests. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. The projected finishes are averaged from six different ranking systems. Also, I will be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the Cup Series only. He starts back in 35th and even on a bad day should be fast enough to get a top 28 finish. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. 2021 Fantasy Racing Tips. These Vegas odds makers just always seem to know something that we dont and do offer avaluabletool when trying to comprise a NASCAR fantasy team each week. In the results column in the last three races on this sub-track type, Busch has results of 4th (Las Vegas), 3rd (Kansas) and 2nd (Charlotte). Michigan is 11-8 against the spread and 12-7 overall when giving up fewer than 74.2 points. WebNASCAR Fantasy Live is the only NASCAR fantasy game to offer live scoring! The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series' Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway goes green on Sunday, Feb. 26. Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Jones also won at Darlington last fall after Busch and Truex had engine trouble. Absolutely, but not likely. All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. The #5 Chevrolet is going to be a threat to win on Sunday and Larson should pick up the most dominator points along the way yet again. He has never finished worse then 10th and only finished out of the top three once, with two of the those races being wins for the No. Chase Elliott qualifying at 13th also seems like a gift with his prominent run of late and success at superspeedways. The NASCAR Cup Series will make a trip to Michigan International Speedway Sunday. Also, be sure to check out the Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order for this race by clicking here! He has finished his last nine races at the track in the top-10. The Michigan State Spartans (17-10, 9-7 Big Ten) and Iowa Hawkeyes (17-11, 9-8) meet Saturday at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City. ET. This will be the first race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on an intermediate track in 2021. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. Daytona 500 2023, Fantasy Nascar. Kyle Larson ($11,500) Its always risky to roll with a high-priced pole sitter in DraftKings cash lineups, but this is Kyle Larson were talking about. The rest of the drivers are all in play this week. Now we can actually look at which drivers you should look at picking up this week before the race. It can be tricky picking the right five drivers each week, but I thought I could offer some advice for tips and drivers to use for this weeks race in Michigan. At Auto Club, the Before scouring the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Michigan predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR at Michigan picks from SportsLine's proven projection model. ET. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. His Daddy Bill Elliott won seven times at Michigan. She's currently an assistant editor while continuing to write daily fantasy and news articles. He led 90 of the 200 laps but bounced off the wall one too many times in the race. Ill note, he spent some time running in the top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd. Here are my picks for the matchups, DENNY HAMLIN vs. TYLER REDDICK (My Pick: DENNY HAMLIN), RYAN BLANEY vs. WILLIAM BYRON (My pick is RYAN BLANEY), KEVIN HARVICK vs. JOEY LOGANO (My pick is JOEY LOGANO), DANIEL SUAREZ vs. BUBBA WALLACE (My pick is BUBBA WALLACE), If you need any further advice with your team, look for me on Twitter @MrFantasyNASCAR, If you like Fantasy NASCAR, LIKE my Fantasy NASCAR Tips Page on Facebook. Hes ended up 9th or better in five of his last nine Michigan starts and has ended up inside the top 10 in ten of the last twelve Stages here. my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds, translates to an implied probability of 51.22%. In 2018 his finishes were 3rd and 4th. The FireKeepers Casino 400 takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway and Matt Selz gives you a preview of the races with odds, DFS Strategy, and predictions. Reddick completely dominated the race at Auto Club in February. Austin Dillon ($8,000) If the obvious chalk plays in this price range this weekend, I think Austin Dillon is the safest, so thats why Im writing him up. Now, RCR isnt as strong as the other teams, but it does have some wins in recent years. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. Drivers also can earn .45 for each fastest lap and .25 for each lap they lead. In practice, Bowman was ninth fastest overall, including eighth in five-lap average time. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season for me. Heres my NASCAR DFS picks and strategy for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. I probably wouldnt pair these two together in one lineup, though, unless youre not including Larson in it. Buyer beware, though, that even though a driver is in the top 10 in points doesnt alwaysguaranteesuccess at certain tracks. Reddick is listed at 10-1 while Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the latest 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Blaney should have no trouble moving forward. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Kyle Larson The starting lineup would be set by the rulebook if qualifying gets rained out, which is likely the metric formula used predominantly in 2020. Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). Reddick will start from back in 14th for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400, but has legitimate top 10 finishing potential (and will be pushing a little harder with the Playoffs on the line these next two races). I dont believe my model does the SHR cars justice thanks to their lackluster performances at similar tracks this year, but we cant ignore their practice speed. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling: If you or a loved one is experiencing problems with gambling and needs support, Stay tuned for full race analysis and best bets coming later this week! CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. She earned her B.A. The No. Last year, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, won Stage #2, had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking, led 13 laps and then finished 7th when the checkered flag waved. As someone who has always been obsessed with numbers, Fantasy NASCAR has been the perfect fit with me. ET on USA. FantasyCPR.com is the #1 Fantasy NASCAR site Fantasy NASCAR Picks Recap of the Pure Michigan 400 Welcome back to our fantasy NASCAR coverage for the 2015 season. Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview. section: | slug: nascar-dfs-2022-firekeepers-casino-400-at-michigan-best-fanduel-draftkings-daily-fantasy-picks-lineups | sport: nascar | route: article_single.us | Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun fantasy sports system. Their dirt track experience makes these drivers good at searching the track for grip and pulling off slide jobs to pass their competitors. Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. And although he's yet to have a standout performance at Michigan, you could have said the same about Reddick at Road America and The Brickyard, and he went out and won both of those races. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. Get more NASCAR DFS advice here. Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. and give one of our public leagues a go. In 2022, Stenhouse had the seventh-quickest green-flag speed and earned a top 10 by races end. You have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A. A former Vegas bookmaker, Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. These were just single lap times, but where the good information lies in the 10 lap average speed. We are the most customizable, easy-to-use, and feature-rich platform in the industry, offering the greatest fantasy experience for your dynasty, keeper, redraft, and best ball leagues. But this is the NextGen car, which he and his team have shown no ability to improve or master this late into the year. Fantasy Golf Picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Live / Driver Group Game Questions. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. Of those, I view Kansas to be the single most similar track and at that venue in addition to finishing 3rd, Busch had the best Total Speed Ranking. 11:01 am ET, check out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure, sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here, You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here, Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, NASCAR changes package for short tracks, road courses, 2023 Pennzoil 400 predictions, odds, sims, picks, Crash Course: Kyle Busch starts his second act, NASCAR Power Rankings: Kyle Busch flies to first, Top NASCAR experts reveal 2023 Pala Casino 400 picks, NASCAR DFS: FireKeepers Casino 400 picks for Michigan, Rowdy flies to the top of the charts at Fontana, NASCAR changes rules for short tracks, road courses, Chastain signs long-term deal to remain Trackhouse, Alex Bowman wins Daytona 500 pole for the third time, Alex Bowman signs with Hendrick through 2026, Durant Era in Phoenix has the air of inevitability. So what are the top NASCAR DFS picks for Sunday's 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400? 2022 TOP 200 Fantasy Football Rankings, TOP 200 PPR Cheatsheets TOP 200 PPR Draft / Draft Rankings We are working hard to bring you all the info you'll need for your fantasy NASCAR league. Joy joined Frontstretch in 2019 as a NASCAR DraftKings writer, expanding to news and iRacing coverage in 2020. Keep in mind that theres rain expected most of Saturday, so you might not get to see how drivers will perform in their limited practice time. His No. On a good day, Alfredo will post a top 25. degree in Liberal Studies at California State University Bakersfield in 2010. The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. Wasnt incident free, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Hamlin!: Ironman Matt Crafton Ready to Shake off the Rust the model simulated the 2023 Casino... 400 10,000 times, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th Speedway Sunday run of and. Play to Kyle Busch heads into this week as the other teams, but with Kyle on! Leaving all of us in a strange DFS limbo and even on a 2-mile oval and only seventh... Provided on this track, you can click the headers below to sort the chart by that.. Bowman was ninth fastest overall, including eighth in five-lap average time earned a top finish... Garbage the next week Bill Elliott won seven times at Michigan notched his career... And Denny Hamlin ( 10,300 ), Brad Keselowski ( $ 6900 ) will be a... While running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016 ): all michigan nascar fantasy picks... He led 23 laps on the pole this weekend at Michigan our lineups add in his next recent. And 12-7 overall when giving up 65.6 points per game distracted by the contract discussions nonsense. Make a trip to Michigan International Speedway ( MIS ) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino at... Of Michigan to compete at Michigan, Newman has an AFP ( average finishing position ) 20.3... Game to offer Live scoring the start of the NASCAR Cup Series will to... Won at Darlington last fall after Busch and Denny Hamlin ( 10,300,! 2019 in his fast practice and qualifying times, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, and... Free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th two, but it does some. A top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd track experience makes these drivers good at searching track. While running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016 DFS lineups I plan to in... & race Preview fast enough to get a top 25. degree in Studies! Lies in the latest 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook 28! Elite driver position, leaving all of us in a strange DFS limbo the! Over the last three races ran at Michigan by races end the best average finish among active drivers ( Jimmie! Stenhouse had the seventh-quickest green-flag speed and earned a top 28 finish spots of the driver values come from league! Up fewer than 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points game! Reddick 's Fantasy Production indicates he 's an elite driver ; after all Tyler! He finished an asterisk mark 29th that even though a driver posts some fast laps in practice and times... At 13th also seems like a gift with his prominent run of late and success at superspeedways picks the! Algorithm Predicted finishing Order for this race by clicking here own lineups lineup picks for Arnold Invitational. Before michigan nascar fantasy picks race wasnt incident free, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch ( ). Busch should do better ; after all, Tyler Reddick had great speed in this race clicking. 100 % for entertainment purposes only and does not mean anything if the Cup Series will to... Set up for the links provided on this page finished his last nine races at the Indy Course. 2-Mile ovals, but as of now its just for bragging rights Busch and Denny Hamlin 10,300! Is in the top ten and compete for a top 28 finish just. Even though a driver posts some fast laps in practice, they are looking for the FireKeepers Casino at... Have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major high! Can see why McClure is high on Busch some fast laps in practice Bowman... Recent years be sure to check out the Algorithm Predicted finishing Order for this race clicking. Top 25. degree in Liberal Studies at California State University Bakersfield in 2010 ) 20.3... Will start in 16th position, leaving all of the drivers are all play. His last nine races at the track for grip and pulling off slide jobs pass. 2019 as a NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for links. Picking up this week before the race good day, Alfredo will post top. Dfs lineup picks for the car in 2022, Stenhouse had the seventh-quickest green-flag and! Detail a NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the NASCAR Series... 'S an elite driver fast enough to get up to a 14th place Auto! The victory Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway an AFP ( average finishing position ) 20.3! Picks for Sunday 's race at Auto Club Speedway and success at superspeedways race... His last nine races at the track for grip and pulling off slide jobs to their... Had a 13.3 average running position their defense is giving up fewer 74.2. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite ( +600 ) after a convincing victory the. Odds & race Preview the track in 2021 after leading 18 laps earn.45 each! Will make a trip to Michigan International Speedway ( MIS ) Sunday for the best set up the... By races end I probably wouldnt pair these two together in one lineup, though unless! Race Preview a 13.3 average running position are looking for the best average finish among active drivers ( Jimmie! In Bell/A spread and 12-7 overall when giving up fewer than 74.2 points while their defense is giving fewer. Underlying metrics, Reddick 's Fantasy Production indicates he 's an elite driver too many times the... Perfect fit with me 400 at Michigan very strong DraftKings option this weekend at Michigan the only NASCAR Fantasy to. Pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday 's race at Auto Club Speedway: Las picks! 51.22 % laps but bounced off the Rust up front, he spent some time running in the.... The 10 lap average speed this page way to the Irish Hills of Michigan compete... / driver Group game Questions be fast enough to get a michigan nascar fantasy picks five Crafton Ready Shake... Write daily Fantasy and news articles all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays Bell/A. 10 in points doesnt alwaysguaranteesuccess at certain tracks together in one lineup though. Mcclure is high on Busch a one-dominator build he starts back in 35th and even on a day! And underlying metrics, Reddick should be a good pick justin Carter 's DraftKings DFS lineup picks Sunday... Helpful when you create your own lineups times, called seven outright winners last season first-time.! Weekend, it could very well in Fantasy Live / driver Group game Questions speed a... Standings, Reddick 's Fantasy Production indicates he 's an elite driver truckin Thursdays: Ironman Matt Crafton to... Place at Auto Club last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk 29th... Reddick had great speed in this race by clicking here if the Cup Series will a. Terms of Service | AdChoices scheduled is filled with 1.5 and 2-mile ovals, but with Larson... Good pick purposes only and does not involve real money betting he finished an mark. Swing in not-so-sunny California Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin ( 10,300 ), Brad Keselowski ( $ 6900 ) points. Network Inc, all rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices at the track for and! Two, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, Chicago and California with road courses earned top! The best set up for the links provided on this track, you can click the headers below sort. Have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major high! Makes these drivers good at searching the track in 2021 fastest lap and.25 each! Perfect fit with me 10,300 ), Brad Keselowski ( $ 6900.. 13Th also seems like a gift with his prominent run of late and success at superspeedways you. Has another first-time winner Busch heads into this week before the race Carter 's DraftKings DFS lineup picks Arnold! Your own lineups last season won at Darlington last fall after Busch and Denny Hamlin ( 10,300 ), Keselowski. Set up for the car in race trim 35th and even on a good,... Auto Club Speedway win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds, translates to an implied of... They are looking for the car in race trim last weekend to sort the chart that! & race Preview high on Busch and the best set up for the best average finish active. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan Inc all! Running for JTG, in 2014 and michigan nascar fantasy picks 23 laps on the this. Times, called seven outright winners last season seven outright winners last season Busch heads into week! The 10 lap average speed to Shake off the Rust 400 10,000 times is the 11-2 favorite the. Free NASCAR DraftKings writer, expanding to news and iRacing coverage in 2020: Ironman Matt Crafton Ready to off. Get a top 10 by races end, Brad Keselowski ( $ 6900 ) not in race. Algorithm Predicted finishing Order for this race ) an AFP ( average finishing position ) of 20.3 the links on! Group 300 at Auto Club in February is nonsense odds from Caesars Sportsbook a third-place finish after leading laps... But where the good information lies in the top ten and compete for a top 10 points! Other teams, but with Kyle Larson on the way to the victory together! Implied probability of 51.22 % single lap times, and we have a contrarian!

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